Holy Bull Features BC Juvenile Winner Hansen
By GREG MELIKOV
Hansen, who has been training in South Florida since late last year, will attempt to become only the second Breeders’ Cup Juvenile champion to capture the Run for the Roses.
Street Sense, the 2006 BC Juvenile champ that won the ’07 Kentucky Derby, began his sophomore season with a victory in the Hutcheson Stakes at Gulfstream Park.
Hansen is setting his sights on the Holy Bull Stakes next Sunday. He’s seeking his fourth consecutive triumph.
The last Holy Bull winner to smell the roses was the ill-fated Barbaro, who lost his nearly year-long battle for life after coming up injured in the ’06 Preakness.
Hansen debuted last fall at Turfway Park, breaking his maiden in a sprint. After posting a blowout victory at 1 1/16 miles in the Kentucky Club Juvenile, the son of Tapit won the BC Juvenile at the same distance in Louisville.
The colt led at every call, defeating the favored Union Rags by a head. That gritty victory at Churchill Downs resulted in the Eclipse Award as champion 2-year-old male.
Hansen has worked three times this year at Gulfstream, last breezing five furlongs in 59 4/5 on a fast surface Sunday.
He’s among more than 50 nominations for the one-turn one-mile contest with a purse of $400,000.
The field is likely to include Fort Loudon, who swept last year’s Florida Stallion Stakes for 2-year-old males at Calder Race Course, but finished seventh behind Hansen in the Juvenile. The son of Awesome of Course breezed five furlongs in 1:01 4/5 Friday at that South Florida track.
Expected runners Algorithms and Consortium finished one-two on Dec. 16 in an allowance contest. Both colts by ’06 Preakness winner Bernardini made their second career start after impressive debut victories earlier in New York.
Algorithms wore down the favored Consortium in deep stretch for the length victory at 6 ½ furlongs.
Consortium breezed five furlongs in 1:01 1/5 at Palm Meadows on Saturday.
Others that may go are My Adonis and Tiger Walk, each with two triumphs, with both scoring at a mile.
Union Rags, meanwhile, will run in the Fountain of Youth on Feb. 26. The son of Dixie Union has been training at Palm Meadows, an hour up the road from Gulfstream. On Jan. 18, he breezed four furlongs in 49 3/5.
Hansen is a homebred for Dr. Kendall Hansen, a pain management specialist who gave away the colt’s dam only to buy her back when trainer Mark Maker told him the horse was showing plenty of potential in his training.
After a brief break from competition, Hansen was shipped to Maker’s barn at Gulfstream.
Dr. Hansen, a onetime horseplayer based at Turfway, has indicated he’d like the colt to return to the northern Kentucky track for the Vinery Racing Spiral Stakes in late March.
One of the traditional preps for the Florida Derby was renamed in ’96 for the great Holy Bull and has been staged at several distances since Home at Last won the inaugural in ’90 at 1 1/8 miles. This is the 23rd renewal.
Last season, Dialed In won off an impressive maiden victory at Churchill Downs. He also captured the Florida Derby.
Speed-Favoring Gulfstream Remains Rapid as Ever
By GREG MELIKOV
Speed bias horseplayers must be thrilled Gulfstream Park’s main track is playing as true as ever six weeks into the 2011-12 meeting that began a month earlier than usual.
Of the first 53 races at six furlongs through Jan. 15, wire-to-wire winners were 30 percent, according to Brisnet.com. Last season, 27 percent of the 45 horses victorious at that distance scored on the front end.
In 50 contests at a mile on the main track from Dec. 3 through Jan. 15, Brisnet.com reported, 16 percent of the winners led at every call. That’s slightly lower than the previous Gulfstream meeting that ended last April when 20 percent of the first 50 triumphant thoroughbreds won gate to wire.
There has been a continuing argument through the years about the lovely South Florida facility and whether a speed bias really exists. Well, I know it has since the mid-90s because I’ve studied the figures.
Some trainers have claimed the main dirt surface has been souped up to favor frontrunners. Souped up? Naw! The main track has been refurbished and expanded in recent times, but has always favored speedsters, especially in sprints and short routes over the long haul.
Back in ’09 horses that led all the way at six furlongs captured 35 percent of the 112 races. That was after the main track was renovated in ’05 when frontrunners won 38 percent at six furlongs compared to 36 percent the previous year.
For a brief span, the renovated main course played a bit differently during the early portion of the ’05 meeting after the surface was redone and the track was enlarged to 1 1/8 miles.
But by the first week in February, pacesetters still won 30 percent of 50 races at six furlongs while the average was lower in other sprints.
Gulfstream’s main track until then was comprised of 85½ percent sand and 14½ percent clay, with a 3 ¾-inch sandy cushion. However, the cushion that once supported by a 3-inch sand/clay pad was replaced with a 7-inch pad of the same material. And the once 10-inch clay/silt/sand base on top of a 6-inch lime rock/sand mixture was switched to a 12-inch sand base on top of 8 inches of road rock.
Don’t get me wrong, speed bias can change from race to race or week to week. For example, 23 horses that won at 1 1/16 miles at Gulfstream from Dec. 3 through Jan. 8 went all the way 23 percent. However, through Jan. 15 the wire jobs jumped to 35 percent in 17 races at the distance.
Longer dirt races over the years have usually gone to runners coming off the pace.
In ’05, front-runners at 1 1/8 miles won 29 percent of 65 races. However, only 14 percent of 42 winners led all the way in ’06.
Greg Melikov’s Horses to Watch
Horses worth watching, a list of runners compiled by handicapper/turf writer Greg Melikov, should do well next time out. These thoroughbreds won four times, finished second nine times and ran third three times since Nov. 5. They’re worth considering when developing your wagering strategy for online betting or at your favorite track.
AQUEDUCT
Law Enforcement: Broke seventh and last, trailed by more than 4 ½ lengths after a half-mile, closed fast from fourth in stretch to make up three lengths and gained second by three-quarters of a length at six furlongs on the inner track Dec. 4.
Coaltown Legend: Raced eighth and last early, advanced to seventh more than 10 lengths behind after a half-mile, rallied to make up 6 ½ lengths in stretch and gained second by a neck at six furlongs on Nov. 20; ran final quarter in 22 4/5.
Gambling Geraldine: Raced more than 3 ½ lengths behind in fifth after a half-mile, guided four wide for clearance entering stretch and gained third beaten a nose and a half-length at six furlongs on Nov. 9; ran final quarter in 24 2/5.
CALDER
Saratoga Matt: Shuffled back at break, raced 10th and last more than seven lengths behind after a half-mile, rallied outside from sixth in stretch and won going away by two lengths at a mile on a good turf course Nov. 5. (Broke 10th and last, trailed early, advanced to ninth more than 11 ½ lengths behind after a half-mile, swung wide from fourth in stretch and rallied to finish second by a neck at 1 1/16 miles on the turf Nov. 26.)
Stage Deli: Raced more than 2 ½ lengths behind in sixth after a half-mile, waited behind wall of rivals on far turn, angled out in stretch and closed to finish second beaten a nose at a mile on Oct. 20; returned $6.10 for place. (Broke slowly, raced sixth and last more than 13 lengths behind after a half-mile, rallied in stretch to make up 2 ½ lengths and finished second beaten a nose at a mile on Nov. 10.)
DELTA DOWNS
Crème de Cacoa: Raced more than 7 ½ lengths behind in sixth after a half-mile, rallied four wide on far turn, closed fast from fifth in stretch to make up more than three lengths and finished second beaten a head at 6 ½ furlongs on Dec. 7.
Classic Robbery: Raced more than 3 ½ lengths behind in eighth after three-eighths of a mile, rallied from fourth five wide in the stretch to make up nearly 2 ½ lengths and finished second beaten a neck at five furlongs on a sealed muddy surface Nov. 22.
Nacho Business: Stalked pace a length and a head behind in third after a half-mile, took command in stretch by three lengths and won in hand by 7 ¾ lengths at 1 1/16 miles on Sept. 25 at Monmouth Park. (Stalked pace a length and two heads behind in fourth after a half-mile, slipped through inside to gain lead by a length in upper stretch and drew off to win by 7 ¾ lengths at seven furlongs on Nov. 19.)
FAIR GROUNDS
Dreams Cut Short: Reluctant to load, raced eighth early, dropped to ninth more than nine lengths behind after a half-mile, came three wide into stretch, jockey lost whip nearing eighth pole and battled gamely to finish second beaten a head at about a mile on the turf Dec. 3.
GOLDEN GATE FIELDS
Famous Dottie: Raced fifth early, dropped to sixth after three-eighths of a mile, rallied from fifth to make up more than 3 ¾ lengths in stretch and gained second by 1 ¾ lengths at 5 ½ furlongs on Nov. 6.
Bits and Bobs: Raced more than 4 ½ lengths behind in fourth after three-eighths of a mile, closed steadily in stretch and finished second by 3 ¼ lengths at five furlongs on Oct. 23. (Raced two lengths behind in third after a half-mile, rallied a bit in stretch and gained second by a half-length at six furlongs on Nov. 12.)
GULFSTREAM PARK
Roman Bay: Raced more than 6 ½ lengths behind in sixth after a half-mile, saved ground around turn, rallied in stretch to make up 2 ¾ lengths and gained second by three-quarters of a length at six furlongs on Dec. 8; ran final quarter in 23 4/5.
Minister Colin: Raced ninth early, dropped to 11th more than 9 ½ lengths behind after a half-mile, swung out for stretch run and closed well from fifth to finish third beaten a head and a neck at a mile on the turf Dec. 4.
HAWTHORNE
One More Tap: Steadied a bit nearing turn, raced fifth more than 5 ½ lengths behind after a half-mile, rallied between rivals in stretch to make up four lengths and finished second beaten a half-length at six furlongs on Dec. 4.
Kind Regards: Pressed pace early, raced two lengths behind in second after a half-mile, lost position to third midway on turn, rallied in stretch to make up nearly two lengths and finished second beaten a neck at six furlongs on Nov. 2. (Raced 5 ½ lengths behind in fourth after a half-mile, shifted out in stretch losing ground to fifth and rallied to finish second by 3 ¾ lengths at 6 ½ furlongs on Dec. 9.)
Diva’s Diamond: Raced more than 7 ½ lengths behind in ninth after a half-mile and rallied a bit from fourth in stretch to finish third by six lengths at 1 1/16 miles on Nov. 19. (Raced more than seven lengths behind in sixth after a half-mile, carried out by pacesetter while rallying in stretch and dead-heated for second at 1 1/16 miles on Dec. 3.)
Dixie Shoes: Raced 7 ½ lengths behind in seventh after a half-mile, angled out near mid-stretch, rallied to make up 3 ½ lengths and finished second beaten a length at 1 1/16 miles on a good turf course Oct. 26. (Raced fourth early, dropped to sixth 11 lengths behind after half-mile and closed the gap a bit in stretch to finish third at 1 1/16 miles on a good turf course Nov. 17.)
HOLLYWOOD PARK
Blue Samurai: Raced 5 ½ lengths behind in sixth after a half-mile, swung out for stretch run and rallied from fourth to gain second by 2 ¾ lengths at a mile on the turf Nov. 11 at Calder. (Led by a length after a half-mile, battled throughout the stretch and lost the bob at the wire finishing second beaten a nose at six furlongs on the turf Dec. 9.)
Givine: Raced sixth and last 6 ½ lengths behind after a half-mile, rallied four wide in stretch to make up more than 3 ½ lengths and finished second beaten a half-length at 6 ½ furlongs on the turf Sept. 30 at Santa Anita. (Prompted pace four wide a half-length and a head in third after a half-mile, grabbed lead in stretch by a length and fought gamely losing bob at wire by a nose to finish second at six furlongs on the turf Dec. 7.)
LAUREL PARK
Shookstown Road: Raced fourth early, dropped to fifth more than three lengths behind after a half-mile during troubled trip, checked and steadied from five-eighths pole to far turn, awaited room for drive, swung out five wide in upper stretch, closed gamely from fourth to make up more than two lengths and finished second beaten a nose at seven furlongs on Nov. 19.
Mystical Terp: Raced 2 ½ lengths behind in fifth after a half-mile, cruised up behind rivals near quarter pole and rallied in stretch from second to win by length at six furlongs on Nov. 9. (Raced six lengths behind in fourth after a half-mile, drifted out in mid-stretch and finished third by a length at six furlongs on Dec. 3.)
Unbridled Pride: Rated close to pace in fourth after a half-mile, surged between rivals in upper stretch, took command and drew clear to win by 3 ½ lengths at six furlongs on a good surface Nov. 17. (Tracked pace three lengths behind in third after a half-mile, closed in stretch to pass pacesetter and win by three-quarters of a length at six furlongs on Dec. 10; returned $25 on front end.)
Muscadine: Bumped at break, raced ninth more than 18 lengths behind after a half-mile, rallied wide from fifth in stretch to make up seven lengths and finished second beaten a half-length at six furlongs on Nov. 8; ran final quarter in 22 4/5. (Raced 10th and last more than 14 ½ lengths behind after a half-mile and rallied from fifth to finish third by 3 ¼ lengths at six furlongs on a sealed sloppy surface Dec. 7.)
PARX (PHILADELPHIA PARK)
Cantona: Raced seventh and last early, advanced to sixth more than five lengths behind after a half-mile, rallied very wide from fourth to make up more than 3 ½ lengths in stretch and finished second beaten a half-length at six furlongs on a good surface Dec. 6; ran final quarter in 24 3/5.
Believe in West: Raced third early, dropped to fifth more than three lengths behind after a half-mile, eased out in stretch and closed fast to make up more than 2 ½ lengths and finished second beaten a half-length at a mile on Nov. 7.
Padre Ed: Raced four lengths behind in fourth after a half-mile, took lead in mid-stretch and drew off to win by 3 ½ lengths at a mile on Nov. 14. (Pressed pace a head and a half-length behind in third after a half-mile and rallied a bit in stretch to finish second beaten a half-length at a mile and 70 yards on a good surface Dec. 6.)
Knocked Out: Raced more than 4 ½ lengths behind in fifth after three-eighths of a mile and closed well in stretch to gain second by a nose at 5 ½ furlongs on Oct. 11 at Delaware Park. (Raced more than 4 ½ lengths behind in sixth after three-eighths of a mile, rallied five wide in stretch and dead-heated for first at 5 ½ furlongs on Nov. 5 at Delaware Park.)
Reason to Drink: Pressed pace early, led by a head after a half-mile, increased margin to 1 ½ lengths while drifting out in mid-stretch and won by three-quarters of a length under steady urging at six furlongs on Oct. 15; returned $18.20 on front end. (Broke alertly from inside post, led by 1 ½ lengths off rail and won by a length at six furlongs on Nov. 26; returned $14.20 on front end.)
TAMPA BAY DOWNS
Pack Attack: Roughed up breaking 12th and last, advanced to seventh more than 5 ½ lengths behind after three-eighths of a mile, rallied from fifth in stretch to make up nearly three lengths and finished second beaten a neck at 5 ½ furlongs on Dec. 7.
TURF PARADISE
Complete Rule: Steadied after start, advanced from fifth to third three lengths behind after a half-mile, rallied in stretch to make up 2 ¾ lengths and finished second beaten three-quarters of a length at six furlongs Dec. 5.
Wolgan Valley: Raced 8 ½ lengths behind in fifth after three-eighths of a mile, rallied four wide in stretch to make up 3 ½ lengths and finished second beaten a half-length at about five furlongs on the turf Nov. 6.
TURFWAY PARK
Justifiably Salty: Raced sixth early, dropped to eighth more than 10 lengths behind after a half-mile, swung eight wide leaving turn, rallied in stretch to make up more than 6 ¼ lengths and finished third beaten a neck and a half-length at six furlongs on Dec. 4.
WOODBINE
Kings Parade: Raced three lengths behind in sixth after a half-mile and rallied turning for home to gain second by a half-length at 1 1/16 miles on Nov. 6. (Raced five lengths behind in sixth after a half-mile and rallied in stretch to finish second by a neck at seven furlongs on Dec. 2.)
Gulfstream Park’s Middle Name on Dirt Is Speed
By GREG MELIKOV
Gulfstream Park has always been considered a speed track since I first visited the South Florida facility many, many years ago when I was a young man.
Even after Gulfstream extended its main track to 1 1/8 miles while refurbishing the dirt surface, it continues to favor the swift. Horses with early speed always do well, especially at the beginning of the meeting.
For example, 38 per cent of the 32 winners at six furlongs in 2010 from Jan. 3 through Jan. 23 led at every call, according to Brisnet.com. The winning number for 112 races in ’09 was 35 percent.
During the previous meeting earlier this year, which ran from Jan. 5 through April 24, 37 percent of the 133 winners at six furlongs were wire jobs. The 35 races at seven furlongs were captured on the front end 34 percent of the time.
In ’04, 36 percent of the winners in 209 races at six furlongs led at every call. After Gulfstream was renovated in time for the ’05 season, the figure increased to 38 percent.
The main track remains as fast as ever. On the opening afternoon of the 87-day meeting, Discrete Dancer broke the track record for 5 ½ furlongs. The 2-year-old, trained by Todd Pletcher, covered the distance in 1:02 1/5 in his racing debut on Saturday. And he won by 9 ¾ lengths ridden out in a field of nine.
“He does it so easy,” his rider Javier Castellano told BloodHorse.com. “He galloped out great past the wire. I didn’t ask him at all today.”
Gulfstream’s newest change involving racing conditions is installation of a second finish line at what would otherwise be the sixteenth pole on the main track. It allows resumption of races at 1 1/16 miles, which were discontinued after the re-configuration six years ago.
There are drawbacks – a brief run to the first turn and a shortened stretch for those contests. However, many trainers like the change when it pertains to 3-year-olds.
Pletcher, the leading conditioner at Gulfstream the past eight straight seasons, is overjoyed because it presents the opportunity to fulfill the need to run developing horses around two turns.
Among major stakes returning to their long-time distance is the 66th Fountain of Youth (FOY), which has been staged from one mile to 1 1/8 miles since ’05.
The Grade 2 FOY, Gulfstream’s second oldest stakes race and leading prep at 1 1/16 miles for the 61st Florida Derby on March 31, is scheduled for Feb. 26.
Both contests are among 53 stakes, including 33 graded, worth more than $9 million. Back in ’06 there were 47 stakes, including 31 graded, worth $8 million.
Three of the past FOY winners in the 21st Century triumphed in the 1 1/8-mile Florida Derby: Quality Road, ’09; Scat Daddy, ’07; and High Fly, ’05.
Longer dirt races over the years have usually gone to runners coming off the pace. In ’05, front-runners at 1 1/8 miles won 29 percent of 65 races. However, only 14 percent of 42 winners led all the way in ’06.
Of the 159 races at a mile during the past meeting 21 percent were captured by frontrunners.
Greg Melikov’s Horses to Watch
Horses worth watching, a list of runners compiled by handicapper/turf writer Greg Melikov, should do well next time out. These thoroughbreds won nine times, finished second five times and ran third three times since Nov. 5. They’re worth considering when developing your wagering strategy for online betting or at your favorite track.
AQUEDUCT
Coaltown Legend: Raced eighth and last early, advanced to seventh more than 10 lengths behind after a half-mile, rallied to make up 6 ½ lengths in stretch and gained second by a neck at six furlongs on Nov. 20; ran final quarter in 22 4/5.
Gambling Geraldine: Raced more than 3 ½ lengths behind in fifth after a half-mile, guided four wide for clearance entering stretch and gained third beaten a nose and a half-length at six furlongs on Nov. 9; ran final quarter in 24 2/5.
CALDER
Majestic Train: Raced six lengths behind in fourth after three-eighths of a mile, forced outward five wide at top of the stretch, rallied to make up four lengths and gained second by a neck at 5 ½ furlongs on a sealed sloppy surface Nov. 21.
Justanother Babe: Steadied early, dropped to fifth more than three lengths behind after a half-mile, rallied in stretch to make up 2 ½ lengths and finished third by a half-length at a mile on the turf Nov. 10. (Raced three lengths behind in fourth after a half-mile, rallied in stretch to grab lead and won by three-quarters of a length at 1 1/16 miles on the turf Nov. 27; returned $12 on front end.)
Blue Samurai: Broke eighth and last, trailed by more than six lengths after a half-mile, eased out for stretch run, rallied from fourth to make up 3 ½ lengths and finished second beaten a half-length at 1 1/16 miles on the turf Oct. 27. (Raced 5 ½ lengths behind in sixth after a half-mile, swung out for stretch run and rallied from fourth to gain second by 2 ¾ lengths at a mile on the turf Nov. 11.)
Saratoga Matt: Shuffled back at break, raced 10th and last more than seven lengths behind after a half-mile, rallied outside from sixth in stretch and won going away by two lengths at a mile on a good turf course Nov. 5. (Broke 10th and last, trailed early, advanced to ninth more than 11 ½ lengths behind after a half-mile, swung wide from fourth in stretch and rallied to finish second by a neck at 1 1/16 miles on the turf Nov. 26.)
Stage Deli: Raced more than 2 ½ lengths behind in sixth after a half-mile, waited behind wall of rivals on far turn, angled out in stretch and closed to finish second beaten a nose at a mile on Oct. 20; returned $6.10 for place. (Broke slowly, raced sixth and last more than 13 lengths behind after a half-mile, rallied in stretch to make up 2 ½ lengths and finished second beaten a nose at a mile on Nov. 10.)
CHURCHILL DOWNS
Timely Tally: Raced seventh and last early, advanced to sixth 7 ½ lengths behind after a half-mile, rallied inside from fourth to make up two lengths in stretch and gained second by a neck at 1 1/16 miles on Oct. 30. (Raced 12 ½ lengths behind in 10th after a half-mile, dropped to 11th and last after six furlongs and closed well late from fifth to finish third beaten a neck for place at 1 1/16 miles on Nov. 26.)
DELTA DOWNS
Classic Robbery: Raced more than 3 ½ lengths behind in eighth after three-eighths of a mile, rallied from fourth five wide in the stretch to make up nearly 2 ½ lengths and finished second beaten a neck at five furlongs on a sealed muddy surface Nov. 22.
Nacho Business: Stalked pace a length and a head behind in third after a half-mile, took command in stretch by three lengths and won in hand by 7 ¾ lengths at 1 1/16 miles on Sept. 25 at Monmouth Park. (Stalked pace a length and two heads behind in fourth after a half-mile, slipped through inside to gain lead by a length in upper stretch and drew off to win by 7 ¾ lengths at seven furlongs on Nov. 19.)
GOLDEN GATE FIELDS
Global Love: Broke seventh and last, trailed by more than 5 ½ lengths after a half-mile, shifted to extreme outside in stretch, rallied to make up more than 1 ½ lengths and finished second beaten a half-length at six furlongs on Nov. 20.
Famous Dottie: Raced fifth early, dropped to sixth after three-eighths of a mile, rallied from fifth to make up more than 3 ¾ lengths in stretch and gained second by 1 ¾ lengths at 5 ½ furlongs on Nov. 6.
Bits and Bobs: Raced more than 4 ½ lengths behind in fourth after three-eighths of a mile, closed steadily in stretch and finished second by 3 ¼ lengths at five furlongs on Oct. 23. (Raced two lengths behind in third after a half-mile, rallied a bit in stretch and gained second by a half-length at six furlongs on Nov. 12.)
HAWTHORNE
Kind Regards: Pressed pace early, raced two lengths behind in second after a half-mile, lost position to third midway on turn, rallied in stretch to make up nearly two lengths and finished second beaten a neck at six furlongs on Nov. 2.
Diva’s Diamond: Raced 5 ½ lengths behind in sixth after a half-mile, rallied from fourth in stretch to make up more than 2 ½ lengths and finished second beaten a half-length at 1 1/16 miles on Oct. 27. (Raced more than 7 ½ lengths behind in ninth after a half-mile and rallied a bit from fourth in stretch to finish third by six lengths at 1 1/16 miles on Nov. 19.)
Dixie Shoes: Raced 7 ½ lengths behind in seventh after a half-mile, angled out near mid-stretch, rallied to make up 3 ½ lengths and finished second beaten a length at 1 1/16 miles on a good turf course Oct. 26. (Raced fourth early, dropped to sixth 11 lengths behind after half-mile and closed the gap a bit in stretch to finish third at 1 1/16 miles on a good turf course Nov. 17.)
HOLLYWOOD PARK
Dish the Dirt: Raced ninth and last more than eight lengths behind after a half-mile, came out four wide into stretch, rallied to make up more than 2 ½ lengths and finished second beaten a head at seven furlongs on Nov. 20.
Hakuchi: Raced seventh early, dropped to eighth more than 4 ½ lengths behind after a half-mile, rallied four wide into stretch, made up more than 3 ¼ lengths and finished third beaten a nose for place at six furlongs on the turf Nov. 10.
LAUREL PARK
Shookstown Road: Raced fourth early, dropped to fifth more than three lengths behind after a half-mile during troubled trip, checked and steadied from five-eighths pole to far turn, awaited room for drive, swung out five wide in upper stretch, closed gamely from fourth to make up more than two lengths and finished second beaten a nose at seven furlongs on Nov. 19.
Mystical Terp: Raced more than 4 ½ lengths behind in fifth after a half-mile, swung out behind rivals in upper stretch, rallied to make up three lengths and finished second beaten a neck at seven furlongs on Oct. 25. (Raced 2 ½ lengths behind in fifth after a half-mile, cruised up behind rivals near quarter pole and rallied in stretch from second to win by length at six furlongs on Nov. 9.)
Unbridled Pride: Raced more than four lengths behind in third after a half-mile, dropped to fourth after six furlongs and rallied in stretch to finish second by 3 ¾ lengths at a mile on a sealed muddy surface Oct. 27. (Rated close to pace in fourth after a half-mile, surged between rivals in upper stretch, took command and drew clear to win by 3 ½ lengths at six furlongs on a good surface Nov. 17.)
PARX (PHILADELPHIA PARK)
African Knight: Staked pace in third a head and 1 ½ lengths behind after a half-mile, closed gamely from fourth in stretch and finished second beaten a nose at 6 ½ furlongs on Nov. 20.
Believe in West: Raced third early, dropped to fifth more than three lengths behind after a half-mile, eased out in stretch and closed fast to make up more than 2 ½ lengths and finished second beaten a half-length at a mile on Nov. 7.
Padre Ed: Raced six lengths behind in third after a half-mile, took lead in upper stretch and cruised to a 9 ½-length victory at a mile and 70 yards on Oct. 24. (Raced four lengths behind in fourth after a half-mile, took lead in mid-stretch and drew off to win by 3 ½ lengths at a mile on Nov. 14.)
Knocked Out: Raced more than 4 ½ lengths behind in fifth after three-eighths of a mile and closed well in stretch to gain second by a nose at 5 ½ furlongs on Oct. 11 at Delaware Park. (Raced more than 4 ½ lengths behind in sixth after three-eighths of a mile, rallied five wide in stretch and dead-heated for first at 5 ½ furlongs on Nov. 5 at Delaware Park.)
Reason to Drink: Pressed pace early, led by a head after a half-mile, increased margin to 1 ½ lengths while drifting out in mid-stretch and won by three-quarters of a length under steady urging at six furlongs on Oct. 15; returned $18.20 on front end. (Broke alertly from inside post, led by 1 ½ lengths off rail and won by a length at six furlongs on Nov. 26; returned $14.20 on front end.)
PENN NATIONAL
Muscadine: Bumped at break, raced ninth more than 18 lengths behind after a half-mile, rallied wide from fifth in stretch to make up seven lengths and finished second beaten a half-length at six furlongs on Nov. 8; ran final quarter in 22 4/5 at Laurel Park.
TURF PARADISE
Priceless Pearl: Raced more than 4 ½ lengths behind in seventh after three-eighths of mile, rallied from fifth in stretch to make up more than 2 ½ lengths and finished second beaten a half-length at 5 ½ furlongs on Nov. 22.
Wolgan Valley: Raced 8 ½ lengths behind in fifth after three-eighths of a mile, rallied four wide in stretch to make up 3 ½ lengths and finished second beaten a half-length at about five furlongs on the turf Nov. 6.
Steel Blue: Set a pressured pace from the start, led by a head after a half-mile, held lead by same margin in stretch, weakened, but held on for third by three-quarters of a length at as mile on the turf Oct. 30. (Set pace, led by a length after a half-mile, finished well when challenged in stretch and dead-heated for the victory at 7 ½ furlongs on a good turf course Nov. 14.)
WOODBINE
Breeze Bayou: Raced seventh more than six lengths behind after a half-mile, rallied in stretch from fourth to make up more than 5 ¼ lengths and finished second beaten three-quarters of a length at six furlongs on Nov. 19.
Maverick Man: Raced third early, dropped to sixth more than 2 ½ lengths behind after a half-mile, rallied along rail from fourth in stretch to make up 2 ½ lengths and finished second beaten a head at six furlongs on Oct. 28. (Raced 2 ½ lengths behind in fifth after a half-mile, rallied in stretch from second and won by a half-length at six furlongs on Nov. 13; returned $22.10 on front end.)
Kings Parade: Raced seventh and last more than 7 ½ lengths behind after a half-mile, lost ground into stretch, rallied late to make up more than 4 ¾ lengths and finished third beaten a neck for place at 1 1/16 miles on Sept. 25. (Raced three lengths behind in sixth after a half-mile and rallied turning for home to gain second by a half-length at 1 1/16 miles on Nov. 6; returned $6.60 for place.)
Post Positions Play a Role in Handicapping
By GREG MELIKOV
Post position statistics become a more important component of handicapping when races are staged at certain distances. Naturally, the most significant aspect of the data is the ratio of victories.
The general bias against outside posts is particularly strong at foremost North American ovals, especially in routes such as a mile on Aqueduct’s inner track and Santa Anita, 1 1/16 miles at Hollywood Park and 1 1/8 miles at Aqueduct.
These tracks commonly card routes that start near the beginning of the clubhouse turn. Consequently, stats at most meetings show that horses breaking from the inside four posts on the dirt or synthetic surfaces win more than their fair share of starts while runners starting from post 8 and outward capture far fewer races.
For example, horses that drew post seven and outward Nov. 4-20 for Aqueduct routes on the dirt were 3 for 20, with the three winners coming out of No. 8, while sprinters breaking from 8 and outward were 7 for 24.
Runners breaking from post 7 and outward Nov. 10-20 over Hollywood Park’s Cushion surface at a mile or longer were zero for 9 while sprinters were 10 for 24.
Some tracks such as Gulfstream Park tailor their races to limit the short run to the first turn, giving outside horses an even chance to make the winner’s circle.
Gulfstream, which opens a month earlier this year on Dec. 3, lengthened its main track to 1 1/8 miles in 2005, with the backstretch chute allowing sprints up to 7 ½ furlongs.
If you want to benefit from the post position bias, get acquainted with the layout of the tracks you play. Pay attention to the distance of two-turn races that begin near the clubhouse turn – an inherent disadvantage for outside runners.
Posts usually are less of a factor in sprints because there’s sufficient distance along the backstretch to get in stride and racing position.
In six-horse fields, however, the bias disappears because any thoroughbred coming out of the gate should find position with ease.
In addition, post position bias is less important when the runners are classier, the stakes are bigger and the contest is on the grass.
Look for these ideal-betting angles when a horse moves from the outside to an inside post:
A runner showing improvement and hitting the board tosses in a dull effort breaking from an impossible post last time out. The switch to the inside might put the horse back in the winner’s circle.
A thoroughbred normally does well pressing the pace, but started poorly in his last race from the outside and finished out of the money. A favorable draw will dramatically affect the horse’s racing position early and improve the chances to score.
A horse that was competitive in similar races that routed from an outside post near the clubhouse turn and failed to hit the board will improve with a better draw. The shorter the two-turn race, the more it favors the inside.
Extra emphasis should be given to horses customarily racing on or near the lead. Less emphasis should be given to stretch runners that figure to be outrun early no matter their post.
Greg Melikov’s Horses to Watch
Horses worth watching, a list of runners compiled by handicapper/turf writer Greg Melikov, should do well next time out. These thoroughbreds won six times, finished second five times and ran third three times. They’re worth considering when developing your wagering strategy for online betting or at your favorite track.
AQUEDUCT
Gambling Geraldine: Raced more than 3 ½ lengths behind in fifth after a half-mile, guided four wide for clearance entering stretch and gained third beaten a nose and a half-length at six furlongs on Nov. 9; ran final quarter in 24 2/5.
CALDER
Justanother Babe: Steadied early, dropped to fifth more than three lengths behind after a half-mile, rallied in stretch to make up 2 ½ lengths and finished third by a half-length at a mile on the turf Nov. 10.
Blue Samurai: Broke eighth and last, trailed by more than six lengths after a half-mile, eased out for stretch run, rallied from fourth to make up 3 ½ lengths and finished second beaten a half-length at 1 1/16 miles on the turf Oct. 27. (Raced 5 ½ lengths behind in sixth after a half-mile, swung out for stretch run and rallied from fourth to gain second by 2 ¾ lengths at a mile on the turf Nov. 11.)
Extra Brew: Raced fifth early, dropped to sixth 10 lengths behind after a half-mile, steadied in stretch when rival drifted out, recovered at eighth pole, closed fast late to make up more than 2 ½ lengths at six furlongs on Oct. 24.
Saratoga Matt: Raced eighth and last more than 4 ½ lengths behind after a half-mile, swung out for stretch run, rallied from fifth to make up more than 2 ¼ lengths and gained second by a neck at 1 1/16 miles on a good turf course Sept. 23. (Shuffled back at break, raced 10th and last more than seven lengths behind after a half-mile, rallied outside from sixth in stretch and won going away by two lengths at a mile on a good turf course Nov. 5.)
Stage Deli: Raced more than 2 ½ lengths behind in sixth after a half-mile, waited behind wall of rivals on far turn, angled out in stretch and closed to finish second beaten a nose at a mile on Oct. 20; returned $6.10 for place. (Broke slowly, raced sixth and last more than 13 lengths behind after a half-mile, rallied in stretch to make up 2 ½ lengths at a mile on Nov. 10.)
CHURCHILL DOWNS
Sir Jock: Raced more than 6 ½ lengths behind in seventh after a half-mile, split rivals on the turn, rallied in stretch to make up 3 ½ lengths and finished second beaten a half-length at 6 ½ furlongs on Nov. 10.
Timely Tally: Raced seventh and last early, advanced to sixth 7 ½ lengths behind after a half-mile, rallied inside from fourth to make up two lengths in stretch and gained second by a neck at 1 1/16 miles on Oct. 30.
GOLDEN GATE FIELDS
Famous Dottie: Raced fifth early, dropped to sixth after three-eighths of a mile, rallied from fifth to make up more than 3 ¾ lengths in stretch and gained second by 1 ¾ lengths at 5 ½ furlongs on Nov. 6.
Awesome Jared: Raced more than 5 ½ lengths behind in fourth after a half-mile, dropped to sixth after six furlongs, rallied four wide in stretch, bumped with winner nearing sixteenth pole, closed late from fifth to make up more than 2 ½ lengths and finished second beaten a head at 1 1/16 miles on the turf Oct. 23.
Bits and Bobs: Raced more than 4 ½ lengths behind in fourth after three-eighths of a mile, closed steadily in stretch and finished second by 3 ¼ lengths at five furlongs on Oct. 23. (Raced two lengths behind in third after a half-mile, rallied a bit in stretch and gained second by a half-length at six furlongs on Nov. 12.)
HAWTHORNE
Riverside Rascal: Broke eighth and last in tight quarters, trailed by more than 13 ½ lengths after a half-mile, shifted outside, then inside in stretch, rallied from sixth to make up more than 6 ½ lengths and gained second by head at six furlongs on a sealed sloppy surface on Nov. 9.
Diva’s Diamond: Raced 5 ½ lengths behind in sixth after a half-mile, rallied from fourth in stretch to make up more than 2 ½ lengths and finished second beaten a half-length at 1 1/16 miles on Oct. 27.
Dixie Shoes: Raced 7 ½ lengths behind in seventh after a half-mile, angled out near mid-stretch, rallied to make up 3 ½ lengths and finished second beaten a length at 1 1/16 miles on a good turf course Oct. 26.
HOLLYWOOD PARK
Hakuchi: Raced seventh early, dropped to eighth more than 4 ½ lengths behind after a half-mile, rallied four wide into stretch, made up more than 3 ¼ lengths and finished third beaten a nose for place at six furlongs on the turf Nov. 10.
LAUREL PARK
Muscadine: Bumped at break, raced ninth more than 18 lengths behind after a half-mile, rallied wide from fifth in stretch to make up seven lengths and finished second beaten a half-length at six furlongs on Nov. 8; ran final quarter in 22 4/5.
Mystical Terp: Raced more than 4 ½ lengths behind in fifth after a half-mile, swung out behind rivals in upper stretch, rallied to make up three lengths and finished second beaten a neck at seven furlongs on Oct. 25. (Raced 2 ½ lengths behind in fifth after a half-mile, cruised up behind rivals near quarter pole and rallied in stretch from second to win by length at six furlongs on Nov. 9.)
Unbridled Pride: Broke through the gate and ran off about a sixteenth of a mile before start, raced more than 2 ½ lengths behind in fourth after a half-mile, rallied in stretch to make up nearly 2 ½ lengths and finished second beaten a nose at six furlongs on Oct. 10; ran final quarter in 24 4/5. (Raced more than four lengths behind in third after a half-mile, dropped to fourth after six furlongs and rallied in stretch to finish second by 3 ¾ lengths at a mile on a sealed muddy surface Oct. 27.)
Bridey’s Frolic: Raced 2 ½ lengths behind in fourth after a half-mile, rallied outside in stretch to make up two lengths and finished second beaten a neck in a mile race taken off the turf at 7 ½ furlongs on Sept. 26 at Delaware Park. (Dueled early, took lead by a half-length after a half-mile, gave way in upper stretch and finished third at a mile on a sloppy surface instead of 1 1/16 miles taken off the turf Oct. 18.)
PARX (PHILADELPHIA PARK)
Believe in West: Raced third early, dropped to fifth more than three lengths behind after a half-mile, eased out in stretch and closed fast to make up more than 2 ½ lengths and finished second beaten a half-length at a mile on Nov. 7.
Padre Ed: Raced six lengths behind in third after a half-mile, took lead in upper stretch and cruised to a 9 ½-length victory at a mile and 70 yards on Oct. 24. (Raced four lengths behind in fourth after a half-mile, took lead in mid-stretch and drew off to win by 3 ½ lengths at a mile on Nov. 14.)
Heroic Pursuit: Broke in a tangle seventh and last, advanced to fifth early, dropped to sixth more than five lengths behind after a half-mile, came again inside to make up more than 2 ½ lengths in stretch and finished second beaten a half-length at six furlongs on Oct. 10. (Raced fourth early, dropped to fifth more than 2 ½ lengths behind after a half-mile and came back to gain third by a length at six furlongs on a muddy surface Oct. 30.)
Reason to Drink: Raced sixth and last 5 ½ lengths behind after three-eighths of a mile, lost ground going very wide on turn, rallied in stretch to make up 4 ¾ lengths and finished second by 2 ½ lengths on a sealed muddy surface Sept. 24. (Pressed pace early, led by a head after a half-mile, increased margin to 1 ½ lengths while drifting out in mid-stretch and won by three-quarters of a length under steady urging at six furlongs on Oct. 15; returned $18.20 on front end.)
TURF PARADISE
Wolgan Valley: Raced 8 ½ lengths behind in fifth after three-eighths of a mile, rallied four wide in stretch to make up 3 ½ lengths and finished second beaten a half-length at about five furlongs on the turf Nov. 6.
Steel Blue: Raced more than four lengths behind in sixth after a half-mile, angled out on turn, rallied through traffic in stretch and finished third beaten three-quarters of a length and a head at 7 ½ furlongs on the turf Oct. 11. (Set a pressured pace from the start, led by a head after a half-mile, held lead by same margin in stretch, weakened, but held on for third by three-quarters of a length at as mile on the turf Oct. 30.)
WOODBINE
U Get the Picture: Raced 12th and last early, advanced to 11th more than eight lengths behind after a half-mile, rallied belatedly from fifth in stretch to make up more than 3 ½ lengths and gained second by 1 ¼ lengths at seven furlongs on Nov. 9.
Maverick Man: Raced third early, dropped to sixth more than 2 ½ lengths behind after a half-mile, rallied along rail from fourth in stretch to make up 2 ½ lengths and finished second beaten a head at six furlongs on Oct. 28. (Raced 2 ½ lengths behind in fifth after a half-mile, rallied in stretch from second and won by a half-length at six furlongs on Nov. 13; returned $22.10 on front end.)
Jenna’s Wabbit: Sprinted clear quickly, led by two lengths after a half-mile, widened margin to 4 ½ lengths in stretch and won by 7 ¼ lengths in a hand ride covering the six furlongs in 1:09 4/5 on Oct. 10. (Went right to the front, led by a length after a half-mile, increased margin in stretch and won by 2 ½ lengths under restraint at seven furlongs on Nov. 2.)
Kings Parade: Raced seventh and last more than 7 ½ lengths behind after a half-mile, lost ground into stretch, rallied late to make up more than 4 ¾ lengths and finished third beaten a neck for place at 1 1/16 miles on Sept. 25. (Raced three lengths behind in sixth after a half-mile and rallied turning for home to gain second by a half-length at 1 1/16 miles on Nov. 6; returned $6.60 for place.)
How Dirt Surface Plays at Churchill Downs
By GREG MELIKOV
The main track at Churchill Downs, which hosts a record eighth Breeders’ Cup Nov. 4-5, is different from any dirt surface in the nation.
Most tracks are comprised of limestone with dirt on top. The Louisville venue has no such base while the track is mixed with a deep layer of soil, clay and organic materials several feet underneath.
However, even the composition of dirt surfaces vary. Calder Race Course’s main track is a 12-inch base of sand and clay with a 4 ½-inch cushion comprised of sand and clay. The track becomes a bit cuppy while drying out from rain.
At Monmouth Park, where the 24th Breeders’ Cup was staged, a good rain results in a dead rail for a day or so.
Churchill Downs is much different up to 24 hours following a rainstorm. However, it arguably becomes the best strip in racing because the main track turns faster compared to its dry, unusually deep surface that many horses plainly don’t like.
Rainfall in Louisville is evenly distributed throughout the year, but the wettest month is May when the first leg of the Triple Crown is staged.
In ’09 the winner of the 136th Kentucky Derby wasn’t that far back when the track came up sloppy and was sealed. Super Saver was fourth within easy striking distance of the pacesetting Conveyance after six furlongs of the 1 ¼ miles while saving ground on the inside.
The son of Maria’s Mon advanced to second with a quarter-mile left, took command in the stretch and drew away to score by 2 ½ lengths.
Closers didn’t have many good afternoons during the past spring-summer meeting at Churchill Downs while speed did well in sprints.
During the ’11 meeting from April 30 to July 3, according to Brisnet.com, 33 percent of the 78 winners at six furlongs led at every call. In 59 races at 1 1/16 miles, 15 per cent of the winners went wire to wire.
Going back to last year’s BC event, Big Drama sprinted clear from the start of the Sprint, led by a length after a half-mile and won by 1 ½ lengths under steady urging. The son of Montbrook, who covered the six furlongs on a fast track in 1:09, will defend his title on Nov. 5.
The challengers include runner-up Hamazing Destiny, whose recent form hasn’t been good, failing to win in four outings this year. The son of Salt Lake ran second and fourth to Jackson Bend, a likely starter.
Winners of last year’s Juvenile and Juvenile Fillies were no farther back than 1 ½ lengths after a half-mile.
Awesome Feather, only a head back in the stretch, scored by 2 ¼ lengths in a hand ride covering the 1 1/16 miles in 1:45.
Uncle Mo disposed of two runners as he entered the stretch and drew off under steady urging to win by 4 ¼ lengths covering the 8 ½ furlongs in 1:42 3/5.
The unbeaten daughter of Awesome of Course will skip the Ladies’ Classic because she has only raced once this year. Meanwhile, Uncle Mo has been pre-entered in the Dirt Mile and Classic.
Baffert Preparing Stable of BC Candidates
By GREG MELIKOV
Trainer Bob Baffert is loaded for bear, which means aggressively seeking confrontation, when it comes to next month’s Breeders’ Cup.
He is the third leading winner of BC races with seven triumphs. He won his first in 1992 in the Sprint with Thirty Slews and his last in the same race three years ago when Midnight Lute repeated.
Baffert could have even more BC starters than in ’99 when eight ran at Gulfstream Park. He hopes to do better than the afternoon I witnessed trackside when he had just two seconds – Chilukki in the Juvenile Fillies and Tuzla in the Mile.
The conditioner hopes to send nine horses to Louisville. “I’d better get nine spots on the plane,” he recently told the Daily Racing Form.
Right now he plans to saddle Euroears and The Factor in the Sprint and Candrea in the Juvenile Fillies. Baffert captured the Juvenile Fillies twice with Indian Blessing in ’07 and Silverbulletday in ’98.
He’s also counting on Game On Dude for the Classic, which has escaped him. His best finish came in ’98 when Kentucky Derby-Preakness champ Silver Charm was runner-up to Awesome Again.
Baffert is having a great year with his horses capturing more than two dozen graded stakes races. Game On Dude leads the stable with victories in the $750,000 Santa Anita Handicap and the $250,000 Goodwood Stakes, both Grade 1s.
In the Goodwood at Santa Anita on Oct. 1, he dueled with Awesome Gem before scoring by a half-length at the end of 1 1/8 miles. Both were sired by Awesome Again.
Baffert called the winning effort “incredible,” adding that “I feel good about him” going into the Classic.
However, Game On Dude will face a fairly strong field in the Classic that will include Flat Out, who posted victories in the Jockey Club Gold Cup and Suburban at Belmont Park, and was Woodward runner-up to filly Havre de Grace, one of the future betting favorites in the Nov.5 race.
Bafffert’s other BC hopefuls are Irish Gypsy, Filly and Mare Sprint; Irrefutable, Dirt Mile; Secret Circle, the Juvenile or Juvenile Sprint; Drill, Juvenile; and Plum Pretty, Ladies’ Classic.
One Baffert trainee that won’t make the BC is Coil, winner of the Haskell Invitational that finished third in the Goodwood. He announced Sunday he will rest the 3-year-old and run him in stakes next year at Santa Anita’s winter-spring meeting.
Baffert is approaching BC Days during a very successful season. Through Oct. 9, according to the Racing Form, his stable had won 106 races and earned more than $11 million, third on the national list behind trainers Todd Pletcher and Steve Asmussen.
He is fourth in BC earnings with $10,720,000 and a record of 7-9-3 in 57 outings.
The Hall of Fame trainer has won two legs of the Triple Crown four times, with the Belmont Stakes his nemesis three times.
Baffert took the Preakness five times — his latest in ’10 with Lookin at Lucky, tying him for second with two others, including Lukas.
He strung together three Eclipse outstanding trainer awards beginning in ’97. And he was responsible for 11 horses being crowned Eclipse champions in 14 categories.
Breeders’ Cup Repeats Few and Far Between
By GREG MELIKOV
Repeat winners are exceptional in Breeders’ Cup races. Most rare is one fabulous thoroughbred aiming to break her record of three straight victories in the BC mile next month.
Goldikova should have an edge returning to Churchill Downs where she defeated Gio Ponti by 1 ¾ lengths last time. A fourpeat for the 6-year-old exactly a year later on Nov. 5? Not out of the question since she has been whipping the boys for years.
A couple of other distaffers came oh-so-close to repeating last year. Midday fell a neck short to Shared Account in the BC Filly & Mare Turf.
In the most heartbreaking defeat, Zenyatta lost to Blame by a head in the BC Classic while trying to repeat in the same race and going undefeated in her 20th career race.
However, I agree with quite a few racing experts that the strongest Classic field in history gathered at Churchill Downs in ’98.
The 10 horses included Coronado’s Quest, winner of the Wood Memorial, Travers and Haskell, who sprinted to the lead from the break, but never was in front by more than a length for the first mile.
Pressing the pace in second for six furlongs was ’97 Classic champ Skip Away before fading to sixth. Silver Charm, the ’98 Dubai World Cup winner that captured the previous year’s Preakness and Belmont, advanced to second with a quarter-mile to go.
When they turned for home traveling fastest of all was Awesome Again, victorious in the ’98 Stephen Foster and Whitney. The son of Deputy Minister split horses in the stretch nearing the wire and prevailed by a length.
Silver Charm, who had gained a narrow lead entering the stretch, drifted wide, but held on for second by a neck over English champ Swain. A nose back in fourth was Victory Gallop, who captured the ’98 Belmont, while Coronado’s Quest faded to fifth.
There have been only eight repeat winners in the same BC race during the past 27 world championships.
In addition to Goldikova, four came in the 21st Century: Tiznow, ’00-01 Classic; High Chaparral, ’02-03 Turf; Midnight Lute, ’07-08 Sprint; and Conduit, ’08-09 Turf.
Goldikova won the BC Mile in ’08 by 1 ¼ lengths and repeated in ’09 by a half-length, both times defeating 10 challengers on a firm Santa Anita Park grass course.
She’ll be coming into this $2 million race with a less stellar record across the Atlantic than the previous two years: Two victories and three seconds. Her record in ’10 beyond the ocean was four wins and a second in five outings.
On Oct. 2, the daughter of Anabaa lost by a head in the Prix de la Foret at Longchamp in Paris, wrapping up the European portion of her celebrated career. She captured the ’10 Foret and finished third in the ’09 race.
But don’t count the grand lady out in the BC Mile. Fourteen of her 17 triumphs have been in Group 1 contests. She has only finished off the board once while running second six times and third twice.
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